Sunday, August 31, 2014

TRADE 1: From Top to Bottom

Our first trade of the season saw 2013's worst and first flip a couple of players.

Phoenix acquires:
RB Trent Richardson
WR Josh Gordon

Pawnee acquires:
RB Darren McFadden
WR Markus Wheaton

Defending cellar dweller Pawnee moves their 6th and 7th pick for defending champion Phoenix's 16th and 17th pick; On the surface this would seem like a bad move, but one of the players headed to the Uprising is almost certain to be suspended for the season: superstar/toxic asset Josh Gordon. With his projections near zero, it's likely this is more of a two for one move, where Phoenix is getting noted underachiever Richardson in exchange for another disappointing RB, Darren McFadden. While Richardson has been an inefficient runner to date, McFadden's issues have been mostly healthy related over the years; Perhaps sharing duties will help him remain upright and electric. WR Markus Wheaton is the wildcard here- he's likely to outscore Gordon, by virtue of touching the field, and could turn out to be one of the league's better flex options.

Sunday, August 24, 2014

Draft Results & Projections




Draft Grades


Saturday, August 23, 2014

All Drafts Day Eve

The draft starts at 6:30 pm (Eastern) tomorrow.
Going to do a quick run through of the settings for this year:

Draft Order: (Serpentine)
1. New York's Finest (Tom Grimes)
2. Oniontown Massacre (Vince Milillo)
3. Margaritaville Parrots (Steve Grimes)
4. Oakwood Drivers (Tom Acquisto)
5. South Park Cows (Mike Hart)
6. HCM Lead-Farmers (Pete Persampieri)
7. Saskatchewan Sasquatches (Kevin Stabe)
8. Pawnee Pacers (Pete Allegretta)
9. California Swag (Jason Kalmer)
10. Seattle Seaslugs (Raynor Lundy)
11. Indiana Turbanators (Ajay Patel)
12. Toronto LTP (Stu Ferguson)
13. Hill Valley McFlys (Mike Verrino)
14. Phoenix Uprising (Kevin Grimes)

Rosters:
One Quarterback
Two Runningbacks
Three Wide Receivers
One Tight End
One Flex (WR/TE)
One Defensive Lineman
Three Linebackers
Two Cornerbacks
Two Safeties
One Kicker
Six Bench Slots
One Injured Reserve Slot
TOTAL ROSTER: 23 Eligible Players and one Inactive Slot

Scoring:
Offense League Value
Completions 0.1
Incomplete Passes -0.1
Passing Yards 25 yards per point; 1 points at 350 yards; 1 points at 400 yards; 1 points at 450 yards
Passing Touchdowns 4
Interceptions -2
Sacks -1.5
Rushing Attempts 0.1
Rushing Yards 10 yards per point; 1 points at 150 yards; 1 points at 175 yards; 1 points at 200 yards
Rushing Touchdowns 5
Receptions 0.5
Reception Yards 10 yards per point; 1 points at 100 yards; 1 points at 150 yards; 1 points at 200 yards
Reception Touchdowns 6
Return Yards 40 yards per point; 1 points at 150 yards; 1 points at 200 yards; 1 points at 250 yards0
Return Touchdowns 7
2-Point Conversions 2
Fumbles -0.5
Fumbles Lost -2
Offensive Fumble Return TD 6
Pick Sixes Thrown -2
Kickers League Value
Field Goals 0-19 Yards 3
Field Goals 20-29 Yards 3
Field Goals 30-39 Yards 3.5
Field Goals 40-49 Yards 4
Field Goals 50+ Yards 5
Field Goals Missed 0-19 Yards -1
Field Goals Missed 20-29 Yards -1
Field Goals Missed 30-39 Yards -1
Field Goals Missed 40-49 Yards -1
Field Goals Missed 50+ Yards -1
Point After Attempt Made 1
Point After Attempt Missed -1
Defensive Players League Value
Tackle Solo 1
Tackle Assist 0.5
Sack 2
Interception 6
Fumble Force 3
Fumble Recovery 3
Defensive Touchdown 7
Safety 5
Pass Defended 3
Block Kick 5
Tackles for Loss 2.5
Turnover Return Yards 20 yards per point



Saturday, July 19, 2014

THE BIG MOCK

We're just over a month away from the Larkspur Bowl draft- the perfect time to mock a draft.

This draft utilized Yahoo!'s standard rankings (as of today) to determine picks. The only additional parameters were a cap at two RBs and two WRs; No defensive players were selected. Players were then attributed directly in sequence. This is NOT meant to simulate individual drafting strategies, just a way to see how teams might shake out on draft day.

NYF- RB J. Charles
NYF- RB C. Spiller
NYF- WR K. Allen
NYF- WR T. Hilton
NYF- TE J. Cameron

Right off the bat we expect to see divergence from this script, as New York has made no secret that they intend to take a QB overall, specifically Peyton Manning. Whether that ends up to be a blustery ruse or their actual intentions, they hold the keys to the draft, and should be able to initiate positional runs throughout the draft. Their mock roster has a lot of upside; Allen and Cameron broke out with the Champion Uprising last year and along with Hilton, look to build on their success. CJ Spiller will look to rebound from a disappointing 2013, still possessing elite upside. If Charles stays healthy, there's no reason he won't live up to a top draft pick.

BEX- RB L. McCoy
BEX- WR A. Brown
BEX- RB R. Mathews
BEX- QB C. Newton
BEX- WR T. Smith

The Executioners have yet to formally declare their moniker for next year; If they opt against showing up for the draft (50/50 proposition for this franchise) they can hope their autodraft turns out like this. McCoy and Brown are elite producers near the top of the league in touches for their position. Mathews, Newton and Smith all have fortuitous context, making this a dangerous hypothetical.

MVP- RB A. Peterson
MVP- RB A. Ellington
MVP- WR R. Cobb
MVP- QB M. Stafford
MVP- WR J. Edelman

The Parrots mock draft yielded a robust group of playmakers; A Mr Inside/Mr Outside dynamic at RB could develop between future hall of famer Adrian Peterson, and explosive sophomore Andre Ellington. Randall Cobb's recovery from injury is a question mark, but there ought to be plenty of tread left on the youngster's tires. Stafford will throw enough to make up for any liabilities- he's got a pretty high floor, because he's going to keep chucking it up. If this season is the one where it all comes together for him, he'd be a steal in the fourth round.

OAK- RB E. Lacy
OAK- RB Z. Stacy
OAK- WR V. Jackson
OAK- WR M. Floyd
OAK- QB M. Ryan

The mock is obviously flawed because we all know that Matt Ryan will end up a Sasquatch. Then again, last year he ended up on Oakwood before getting wheeled and dealed, so perhaps the Drivers will take him hostage again. They'd be betting on two young RB with rhyming last names in Lacy & Stacy, both of whom looked like the next generation of premier RB as the 2013 season wore on. Vincent Jackson is sort of the blueprint for Michael Floyd, and both should see plenty of looks, especially in the red zone. The best laid plans tend to go awry, but this setup would lead to plenty of optimism in 2014.

SPC- RB M. Forte
SPC- RB A. Morris
SPC- TE J. Thomas
SPC- WR D. Jackson
SPC- QB A. Luck

The storyline for the Cow's inaugural season will inevitably compare the team to Toronto, as the brain trust there was split this year. LTP had a lot of success last year amassing WR2 breakouts, but this mock eschews that strategy, taking two all-purpose bruisers early, then betting on Orange Julius's potential to cement himself as an elite TE. Andrew Luck is a solid QB to anchor your team on- year three could see him enter his prime.

LGM- WR C. Johnson
LGM- WR J. Nelson
LGM- RB D. Martin
LGM- TE R. Gronkowski
LGM- RB J. Bell

With Josh Gordon felled by off the field issues, Megatron remains unarguably the premier WR in the game. Snatching him early locks in one of the (potentially four) WR slots as long as the big man can stay healthy. Jordy Nelson is a safe WR2; Doug Martin is less of a sure thing, after a disappointing second year ended in injury, but he's only a year removed from being a top RB. Same with the Gronk- he's potentially the best TE in the league, if he can stay on the field. RB Joique Bell is criminally underrated, one of football's most efficient all-around backs. This draft strategy leaves the team to pick a mid tier QB off the scrap heap in the later rounds.

SAS- TE J. Graham
SAS- QB A. Rodgers
SAS- RB T. Gerhart
SAS- WR M. Crabtree
SAS- RB S. Ridley
Someone is going to draft Jimmy Graham in the first round; In this model he is going to Canadian Team 2: Northerer. WR1 numbers at TE is a major boon, and following up with QB Aaron Rodgers could give the team the highest scoring players at two positions. The back three picks have less upside: RBs Gerhart and Ridley are far from proven commodities, while Michael Crabtree is a safe WR2 without a high ceiling.

PAW- RB M. Ball
PAW- WR A. Jeffery
PAW- RB R. Jennings
PAW- WR C. Patterson
PAW- QB R. Griffin III

The Pacers go full risk/reward in this model: Montee Ball is probably the biggest question mark in the first round, but has inherited a juicy portfolio and has the pedigree and skills to maximize it. Alshon Jeffrey is probably the safest pick in this bunch, as a burgeoning physical WR in his prime. Jennings is presumed to be the bell cow in a crowded backfield without articulated roles; He could end up a steal in the third round, or he could be an afterthought by October. Patterson is an explosive playmaker that grew into a larger role as 2013 went on. RGIII is perhaps the biggest X-Factor in the draft.

CAL- RB M. Lynch
CAL- RB G. Bernard
CAL- WR V. Cruz
CAL- WR P. Harvin
CAL- QB N. Foles

The Swag have a very straight forward draft here, buying high on two well regarded RBs and buying low on two WRs coming off various disappointments; Cruz did not manage to hit the end zone much after week one in 2013, the victim of a broken offense. Percy Harvin barely played, although his electric kick return TD in the Super Bowl would indicate he should be healthy for 2014. Each has reasons to be optimistic for a bounce back season. Conversely, Nick Foles seems bound for regression after a nearly flawless run from mid season on- but to what extent? Even 80% of what he did in a partial season would translate to a value purchase in the fifth round.

SEA- RB A. Foster
SEA- WR J. Jones
SEA- RB B. Sankey
SEA- WR R. White
SEA- QB T. Romo

Seattle is the only true rookie in 2014, stepping in for regular contender Orgrimmar. This mock draft sees them go after two players that finished 2013 on the IR. After that they snag fellow rookie Bishop Sankey, and the second half of the ATL WR duo. Going 1A & 1B gives a high floor but does minimize upside; QB Tony Romo is true gunslinger, and every Sunday should have the potential to be high noon at the OK corral. Not a bad setup.

SFC- WR D. Thomas
SFC- QB D. Brees
SFC- RB R. Bush
SFC- WR A. Johnson
SFC- RB C. Johnson
Silver City's draft scored them a few aging RBs out to prove they have plenty left in the tank, and two elite WRs with question marks. Reggie Bush looks like he's being properly implemented for the first time in his career; CJ2K will hope a new setting will jump start his wheels, which by all accounts still have plenty of juice. Demaryius Thomas has a prime setup to be a top five WR- Andre Johnson's context is far murkier, but could potentially improve by the time the season starts. Drew Brees would continue the FC's tradition of top notch QB play through their third year in the league.

LTP- WR D. Bryant
LTP- RB L. Bell
LTP- WR L. Fitzgerald
LTP- RB S. Vereen
LTP- QB J. Cutler

Toronto will go it alone, and this draft sees them start things off with one of the most talented WRs in the league in Dez Bryant. Not a bad wingman. From there they take Levon Bell, who is on an upward trajectory. Larry Fitzgerald's floor is an adept WR2, which makes him a great value in the third round for a low slot. Shane Vereen is one of the new era's RBs: Less touches, but more room to do things. He will get his, if he can stay healthy. QB Jay Cutler might be due for that big year, where he elevates his game from that 'above average' level.

HVM- WR A. Green
HVM- RB D. Murray
HVM- WR W. Welker
HVM- TE V. Davis
HVM- QB T. Brady

The Mock sees Hill Valley snag 2014's Larkspur Bowl Championship MVP AJ Green in the first round; Elite WR's are always a good bet at the turn. RB Demarco Murray has always been a beast on the field, but with his upright style, necessitates backfield depth. WR Wes Welker may not repeat his frenzied Red Zone prowess, but is sure to get plenty of looks, a high volume guy at worst. TE Vernon Davis might be the most physically skilled player at the position, but it has only translated to inconsistent genius at best; If he is ever made the focal point of that offense, watch out. QB Tom Brady in the fifth round seems like stealing.

PHX- WR B. Marshall
PHX- QB P. Manning
PHX- WR P. Garcon
PHX- RB F. Gore
PHX- RB S. Jackson

The defending champs come out with a veteran squad in this exercise; While QB Peyton Manning would appear to be ageless, running back duo Frank Gore and Steven Jackson's best days are behind them. Their WR duo of Marshall and Garcon are bonafide premier targets, which is the only way to look at WRs in the early going.

Saturday, July 5, 2014

Old Looks & New Looks

We have had some face lifts and relocations! I anticipate that there may be a few more before the draft. But to maintain everybody's bearings, here's the rundown:

Steve Grimes' Chicago Bears have become the Margaritaville Parrots.

They move on from their Bipolar moniker:

To their colorful new ensemble:













Kevin Stabe's Atlanta Rage move north, and then norther, to become the Saskatchewan Sasquatch.

The Rage ditched their cursed threads:

For a more grizzled get up:



Silver City FC couldn't settle for bronze, so Ajay Patel moved to them to become the Indiana Turbanators.

The Silver element is gone:







 The Purple element remains:


Pete Persampier and the Levee G-Men shipped out of New Orleans, settling in as the HCM City Lead-Farmers:
These duds are sunk:

The new looks goes scorched earth:


The California Swag and Jay Kalmer have opted for a more palatable color scheme:
They lose the green trimming:

Opting for a creamy beige complimentary look familiar to the Bay Area:


Vince Milillo take the Bristol Executioners to a new crime scene: the Oniontown Massacre.
The basic color scheme stays the same, from this:








And just adding a splash of blood:















Gone are the Orgrimmar Horde and Flint Aristocrats:



And in their stead are the South Park Cows and the Seattle Seaslugs:







Last but not... okay, least, I included New York's Finest old Mt Tucky Pilot uniforms on their team page:

Thursday, June 26, 2014

2013 Phoenix Uprising

The Uprising won their third championship in four years in 2013, picking up momentum mid season and riding it all the way through to the end. After three straight years of rating penultimate in total points, they took pole position by well over a hundred. Now they will have to try to repeat from the 14th and final slot on the draft board, picking on the turn. The only time they have chosen lower than 5th was in 2009 when they drafted 10th overall, and missed the playoffs for the only time in franchise history.

2013 FINAL ROSTER

















Team Owner: Kevin Grimes
Hometown: Phoenix, Arizona
2013 Record: 10-3 (2013 Champions)
2014 Draft Position: 14th

Week 12: *1. Phoenix 10-2 2196.80
Winners of seven straight, and assured a bye, the Uprising have scored 150 points more than their closest rival. With elite assets at nearly every position, they just have to hope to stay healthy and keep the run going. If they have an achilles heel, it is underwhelming DB play; They also lost their highly rated K Steve Hauschka in a surprise waiver claim to Toronto. 

Week 9: 1. Phoenix 7-2 1659.90
The Uprising have constructed a monstrous team, and have not suffered any tragic losses. They are tied for the league's best record, have not lost for a month, and are nearly a hundred points better than their next closest rival. With a week remaining before the deadline, they hold the number two waiver claim. Unless tragedy hits, the 2010 and 2011 champions have to be considered the favorite going forward. Toot.

Week 6: 4. Phoenix 4-2 1014.64
The Uprising breathe a sigh of relief after gutting out a win over Oakwood by MNF: Monday Night Fractions. They're the fourth team in four digits through six weeks, and look to have three startable RBs and four startable WRs to cover bye weeks. The best laid plans can always go awry- Calvin Johnson's uncertain health might be the first thread to come loose.

Week 3: 2. Phoenix  2-1 528.04
After a shaky start, the Uprising have put together two straight in dominant fashion. With solid depth and a defense anchored by JJ Watt, the team's ability to manage the bye weeks will depend on knowing when to hold em and when to fold em. Kenny Britt, Heath Miller, and Willis McGahee are all marquee names with high upside, but if they cannot cut the tie with options that are not working, they'll hamstring their roster.

2013 Season Preview

The Uprising are the oldest and most storied franchise in the LFL, the last remaining bastion of the league's origins in 2007. Besides their 2009 debacle, the team has finished in the top three every year, and has turned in the second highest point total for three years running. With a startling 10-2 playoff record all-time, the team prides itself on building for the long haul and finishing strong.

2013 Draft Picks:
RoundPickPlayerPosition
1.(4)Calvin JohnsonWR
2.(25)Matt ForteRB
3.(32)J.J. WattDE
4.(53)Robert Griffin IIIQB
5.(60)Matthew StaffordQB
6.(81)Ryan MathewsRB
7.(88)Mike WilliamsWR
8.(109)Derrick JohnsonLB
9.(116)Kenny BrittWR
10.(137)Rashard MendenhallRB
11.(144)Jordan CameronTE
12.(165)Jason McCourtyCB
13.(172)Joe HadenCB
14.(193)Sean LeeLB
15.(200)Colin McCarthyLB
16.(221)Eric BerryS
17.(228)Michael FloydWR
18.(249)Lance BriggsLB
19.(256)Jacoby JonesWR
20.(277)Steven HauschkaK
21.(284)Zac StacyRB



AKA: The Fighting 54s, The Carousel of Doom, Red Storm

2013 Hill Valley McFlys

For the second year in a row, the McFlys went home from the Larkspur Bowl heartbroken. Nobody has won more regular season games over the past three seasons than Mike Verrino's club (28-11 record over that span) but they have been unable to get over the hump, going down in the playoffs every year since their inception. They have shown the skill and shrewdness to win, now they just need some luck; perhaps drafting 13th will counter their curse.

2013 FINAL ROSTER















Team Owner: Mike Verrino
Hometown: Hill Valley
2013 Record: 9-4
2014 Draft Position: 13th

Week 12: *4. Hill Valley 8-4 2000.54
The McFlys have shrugged off adversity, broken the 2,000 point plateau, and could clinch the #2 seed with a win, and some help from Silver City. Nick Foles has been a revealation, and might retain his starter's role if he can keep slinging it with perfection. A bye week would be a huge advantage for informing their decision behind center, as they would have a week to audition Rodger's health before having to make a call with all the chips on the table.

Week 9: 8. Hill Valley 5-4 1395.27
It's been a cursed season for the McFlys, with Reggie Wayne and Justin Blackmon out for the season, and Aaron Rodgers and Arian Foster perhaps joining them on injured reserve. Each loss came on the heels of upgrade trades that sapped Hill Valley's depth. And yet, shrewd moves keep the team on the cusp, hanging around and refusing to give up. It's the sort of survivor's story that can buoy a team and make them more than the sum of their parts- plenty of their young players have not yet reached their limits, and could push the parameters of their potential. Hill Valley needs that now.

Week 6: 8. Hill Valley 3-3 959.01
The McFlys have faced adversity and had some bad luck, but they have battled back to .500 and have set themselves up for a big time second half. Upside runs deep on this team, and while everyone is healthy and off bye, their roster will have one or two players on the bench that would start for all thirteen other teams in a given week. Rest assured, that wealth will be turned into more front line talent, as the McFlys round into form. Josh Gordon and Justin Blackmon are the keys- if they maintain their early returns, this team is a juggernaut, bitch.

Week 3: 8. Hill Valley 2-1 485.04
Hill Valley's robust trading resume grew again today, as he spun off a 3 for 3 that I'll review shortly. His team has amassed a glut of dependable WR2s (Nicks, V-Jax, Wayne, Gordon, Hartline) and high upside WR3s (Blackmon, Broyles) that has severely impeded his ability to deal with early onset bye weeks. Look for aggressive shopping, as the LFL's Ari Gold tries to turn his quanitity into quality- a 2 for 1 could give a scuffling team much needed depth. The team's RB duo of Sproles and Rice should start every week they are capable; Fred Jackson and Law Firm provide solid, if unexciting depth. Aaron Rodgers rounds out a roster that will score way more than it has so far.

2013 Season Preview

The McFlys have made the playoffs in each of their four years, and are amongst the league's perennial elite, putting up big numbers and winning nineteen of their last twenty six regular season games. A Larkspur Bowl championship has proven elusive, as regular season success has not translated into landing the big one, but no one would deign to ever count them out. 

2013 Draft Picks:
Hill Valley McFlys
1.(9)Ray Rice(Bal - RB)
2.(20)Aaron Rodgers(GB - QB)
3.(37)Reggie Wayne(Ind - WR)
4.(48)Darren Sproles(NO - RB)
5.(65)Hakeem Nicks(NYG - WR)
6.(76)Mike Wallace(Mia - WR)
7.(93)Jermichael Finley(GB - TE)
8.(104)Lavonte David(TB - LB)
9.(121)Patrick Willis(SF - LB)
10.(132)Tim Jennings(Chi - CB)
11.(149)Julius Peppers(Chi - DE)
12.(160)Fred Jackson(Buf - RB)
13.(177)Harrison Smith(Min - S)
14.(188)Justin Blackmon(Jac - WR)
15.(205)Brian Hartline(Mia - WR)
16.(216)Jacquizz Rodgers(Atl - RB)
17.(233)DeMeco Ryans(Phi - LB)
18.(244)Ryan Broyles(Det - WR)
19.(261)Rod Streater(Oak - WR)
20.(272)Dan Bailey(Dal - K)
21.(289)Chris Harris(Den - CB)

AKA: Yo Adrian I Did It, Run to the Hillis, 
the Fighting 54s +1