Tuesday, February 16, 2016

2016 Draft Order

The 2016 Draft will tentatively take place on Sunday, August 28th, 2016 and will start at 7:00pm, Eastern Time.

Any rule or format changes will be discussed and implemented prior to the draft.
Statistical tweaks will be announced and explained via blog post before August 1st.

If any teams do not intend to return for the 2016 season, please inform the Commissioner as soon as you have made a decision. You have until Wednesday June 1st to reactivate your team.

If you intend on changing your team name or location, those details must be finalized by Sunday, September 4th. All team names must follow typical nomenclature: Location/Nickname.

We hope to see everyone back for LARKSPUR BOWL VIII!


#1 South Park Year-In-Review


Preview: (Posted before the 2015 Draft)
After two years splitting duties in Toronto, "Co-Manager Mike" chose to go it alone in 2014- and set a record for expansion team victories in year one, pulling double digits right off the first whistle. After securing the #2 seed and a bye, the Cows went down to the Finest 'team of destiny' in the second round, before rallying to take the bronze. An immediate contender looking to take it to the next level in 2015- winning it all.

Final Record:
Seven Wins, Six Losses (2,403.23 points; 194.86 avg - 4th)


Playoffs:
Defeated Revis Islanders in Larkspur Bowl Quarterfinals 183.20 - 160.51
Defeated New York's Finest in Larkspur Bowl Semifinals 216.61 - 214.11
Defeated Pawnee Pride in Larkspur Bowl VII 224.98 - 136.36

Synopsis:
After their inaugural season had a dominant regular season followed by a one and done playoff run, the Cows had a different odyssey in store for 2015: They scraped through the regular season, surviving a midseason avalanche where Pawnee, New York, and Deputy combined to pile 686.77 points on them in back to back to back blowouts. They recovered and secured a playoff spot in final week of the season, defeating old friend Toronto in a must win, and then defeating the Islanders in a slugfest. In the semifinals they had a chance to flip the script with New York: in 2014, the Finest surged into the semifinal to knock off the sacred Cows- now it was SPC's turn to drop the top dog. Brandin Cooks was legendary in the fourth quarter, a showcase of WR depth that quietly rivaled their opponent's; Cooks, Julio Jones, Jarvis Landry, and John Brown got vertical early and often this year. The RB situation was fluid through the season, and the team nearly lost Carson Palmer, risking him on the wire before getting him back unscathed; Tight End was never a highlight for the Cows, but they had guys chip in points when it counted. The defense was elite at ballhawking: Reggie Nelson's eight picks led the league, while Ron Parker and Dave Amerson gave the team value on the edges that other teams could not match. The unit was anchored by 23rd round pick Aaron Donald who bullrushed his way into the position's top three. It was a perfect storm the team rode expertly to its conclusion, ticker tape parade raining down upon their silver chalice. Two seasons in, the Cows have been to the top of the mountain, and know what it takes to get there: when their title defense begins next August, they'll be well regarded as favorites.

Draft Analysis:
VALUABLE ; TRADED ; DROPPEDRECYCLEDINJURED

The champs had a very good draft- the best pick was probably their last, Aaron Donald, who was nearly JJ Watt, except 303 picks later. It's pretty impressive that the team picked three RBs in the first five rounds, and all of them disappointed pretty thoroughly. Jeremy Hill really struggled midseason and never really made good on his first round pedigree. Andre Ellington and Ameer Abdullah both bottomed out and were dropped outright. 14th round selection Duke Johnson was a nice contributor, though he could hardly be mistaken for elite. The Cows had a great WR corps, cashed in on waiting for a QB, made a shrewd grab at TE, cultivated a defense, and just got by at RB, on their way to winning the trophy. Might be the blueprint for 2016!





Projected Points by Position versus League Average Projections (POST DRAFT)
SPC: B GRADE
Strength: Weapons & Defense
Weakness: QB & TE

The Cows have a deep arsenal of high upside weapons, but will rely on two injury prone QBs (Palmer & Bradford) to get them the ball. This is a stellar all around defense.


Trade Review: (Listing each player's point total following the trade)
  • NOV 12 traded LB Bobby Wagner (86.6) to PHX for RB Jeremy Langford (106.3) and LB Kevin Minter (48.5)
The Cows have expertly navigated the draft and wire, mining it for talent in their two very successful seasons. However, until November 12th, they had not utilized the trading block for upgrades. On the day of the deadline, they received an off they could not refuse: A much needed bellcow running back. Jeremy Langford South Park debut was monstrous, and after that he provided a stability the team could rely on to not lose games for them, as the aerial assault had its way with defenses. The downgrade from Wagner to Minter was substantial, but again: Minter gave the team a floor to function as a launching pad. Obviously things worked out for the green and white.

Player of the Week Awards:
  • WK10 OPotW: RB Jeremy Langford (39.8pts)
  • WK12 PUotW: RB Spencer Ware (21.7pts)
  • WK14 DPotW: DT Aaron Donald (18.0pts)
  • WK16 OPotW: WR Julio Jones (24.1pts)
  • WK16 DPotW: LB Denzel Perryman (15.0pts)
All Larkspur Bowl Players:
  • Wide Receiver Julio Jones (357.50pts)
Depth Chart:
  • QB: Carson Palmer, Marcus Mariota
  • RB: Jeremy Hill, Duke Johnson, Jeremy Langford, Mike Gillislee, Andre Ellington, Spencer Ware
  • WR: Julio Jones, Brandin Cooks, Jarvis Landry, John Brown, Philly Brown
  • TE: Richard Rodgers, Vernon Davis, Will Tye
  • K: Chandler Catanzaro
  • DL: Aaron Donald
  • LB: Ryan Shazier, Kevin Minter, Kwon Alexander, Denzel Perryman, Zach Brown, Kiko Alonso
  • CB: Ron Parker, Dave Amerson, Brandon Browner, Xavier Rhodes
  • S: Reggie Nelson, James Ihedigbo, Michael Griffin

#2 Pawnee Year-In-Review


Preview: (Posted before the 2015 Draft)
The league's loveable losers, the Pride have always seemed just a half step slow at crunch time, leaving them on the outside looking in for four of the past five years. You get the sense that Pete's perseverance is palpable though- the Pride could be the team that suddenly puts it all together and prances into the promised land. After losing the deed to their stadium to Deputy, they'll be playing in Ohio this season.

Final Record:
Eight Wins, Five Losses (2,534.93 points; 194.99 avg - 3rd)

Playoffs:
Defeated Toronto Les Tres Petite in Larkspur Bowl Quarterfinals 206.21 - 123.32
Defeated Phoenix Uprising in Larkspur Bowl Semifinals 246.84 - 216.78
Lost to South Park Cows in Larkspur Bowl VII 224.98 - 136.36

Synopsis:
Loveable losers no more: The Pride is for real. I mean, they still lost, ultimately. But in putting together a monster roster and storming into Larkspur Bowl VII Pawnee showed a level of shrewd adeptness they had not previously approached. The team rode two running backs (Martin & Ingram) through the bulk of the season, and traded their depth and surety to put together a quartet of wide receivers that were the envy of the league; Believing in Gary Barnidge's improbable breakout, and scoring DangeRuss for nothing after mortgaging off their quarterbacks made Pawnee's offense perhaps the best in Larkspur Bowl history. After a tight win to start things off against LHT, there were only two lulls (week 3/4 and week 9/10) where Pawnee looked beatable through the season- their other loss came in week five to the Islanders by .33 of a point. In that game, and their seven other wins the team scored 197 or more, and showed no sign of slowing as they entered the playoffs: they demolished Toronto, and then exploded for their best game of the year to knock off Phoenix. But it was not without worry- Mark Ingram had gone down late in the season, and his stellar replacement Thomas Rawls went down shortly after that, leaving the team with a black hole at RB2. Then in the leadup to Larkspur Bowl VII, team MVP Odell Beckham was suspended, an ominous sign. With the offense clipped, the team's average defense was left vulnerable, and the Cows stomped out the Pride's hopes and dreams. A successful season by any measure, Pawnee will look to take the model they developed in 2015 and apply it to the new season. Why do we fall? So we can learn to pick ourselves up.

Draft Analysis:
VALUABLE ; TRADED ; DROPPEDRECYCLEDINJURED

Those first five picks were perfection, and the next five fetched a good amount of value on the market- the Pride really maximized their potential on the trade market in general this year. The backend of this draft wasn't anything special- mostly IDPs that the Pride was smart to grind through. It's a good thing to not get too nostalgic with your defensive players- only difference makers should be owed any allegiance. This entire offense was built off the first five picks, and then they added a great QB and TE on the cheap via the wire, and upgraded through trades. Boom.







Projected Points by Position versus League Average Projections (POST DRAFT)
PAW: D+ GRADE
Strength: Ceiling
Weakness: Floor

The Pride grade out below average at nearly every position; Nearly their entire roster is boom or bust. If their instincts are right, they could stun the projections though.


Trade Review: (Listing each player's point total following the trade)
  • SEP 1 traded WR Mohamed Sanu (82.55) to PHX for RB DeAngelo Williams (247.2)
This trade gave Pawnee an abundance of early season assets at RB- DeAngelo was phenomenal in his two weeks as a starter, and Pawnee tapped him for a monster game in week two. However, they were unable to convince anyone to trade for him before his role was reduced, and they were unable to keep space for him on their bench. When injury thrust him back into a superstar role, the Pride no longer had a claim on him. They didn't need him, they just squandered their brief chance to get something for him. Still a good early move, the right pawn to the right spot.
  • SEP 23 traded TE Dwayne Allen (19.1), WR Cecil Shorts (86.49), and RB Isaiah Crowell (142.8) to SAV for TE Antonio Gates (132.9), TE Ladarius Green (72.4), and WR James Jones (155.2)
This was an masterstroke: Dwayne Allen had a lost year, Cecil Shorts was hurt as much as he was healthy, and Crowell could not convince the Petes to trust him with totes. Green have them an immediate solution at TE, and staying patient with Gates through his suspension paid dividends later in the year. James Jones had a flash in the pan look to him early- but why? He was a very good WR2/3 option through the year, albeit an unsexy one. Pawnee got sexier.
  • OCT 11 traded WR James Jones (114.1) and QB Matthew Stafford (227.3) to LTP for QB Drew Brees (257.84)
Pawnee's QB situation was in flux all year: This move seemed to address it with finality, but the Pride's plan would change a few times- and with each twist and turn it worked out. They got value out of Jones and Stafford, both players who were roster worthy, but without the luster of bigger stars. 
  • OCT 15 traded TE Jordan Cameron (54.5) to PHX for RB Isaiah Crowell (101.3)
Small potatoes in their litany of season defining moves, they did get the better player in this move, and moved a player in Cameron who had been in a free fall down their depth chart. Far from playing time, they sent him back to the place his career started, and got a nice bench option in Crowell, an auxiliary that never came to pass. But solid preparation!
  • OCT 29 traded QB Drew Brees (216.16), RB James Starks (107.4), and WR Danny Amendola (76.93) to LHT for WR AJ Green (163.9)
When this move occurred, it looked like Pawnee might have gotten AJ Green on the cheap. Ultimately they got the best positional value in the move, and replacing Drew Brees with Russell Wilson ended up being an upgrade that might not have happened without this deal. But the spare parts they threw in both retained pertinence: James Starks showed surprising value and versatility, and Danny Amendola would have a (brief) star retread for the Moosecrew. AJ Green (Larkspur Bowl V's MVP) was the #8 WR in the game and quietly the number two option for the squad. scoring six touchdowns in the final six games. Uh, so it was worth it, without question. Five trades, five wins for Pawnee.

Player of the Week Awards:
  • WK05 PUotW: TE Gary Barnidge (26.7pts)
  • WK11 OPotW: RB Doug Martin (37.3 pts)
  • WK14 OPotW: WR Odell Beckham (39.9 pts)
  • WK15 OPotW: WR Emmanuel Sanders (39.0 pts)
  • WK15 DPotW: SS Deone Bucannon (27.95 pts)
All Larkspur Bowl Players:
  • Wide Receiver Odell Beckham (317.5 points)
Depth Chart:

  • QB: Russell Wilson, Jay Cutler
  • RB: Doug Martin, Mark Ingram, Thomas Rawls, Donald Brown
  • WR: Odell Beckham, Emmanuel Sanders, Mike Evans, AJ Green, Ty Montgomery
  • TE: Gary Barnidge, Antonio Gates
  • K: Mason Crosby
  • DL: Ziggy Ansah, Greg Hardy, Henry Anderson
  • LB: Stephone Anthony, Preston Brown, Kelvin Sheppard, Alec Ogletree, Pernell McPhee, Rolando McClain
  • CB: Aqib Talib, Tramon Williams, Darelle Revis, Bene Benwikere, Jason Verrett
  • S: Deone Bucannon, Rashad Johnson, Rodney McLeod, Antrel Rolle

Monday, February 15, 2016

#3 Phoenix Year-In-Review


Preview: (Posted before the 2015 Draft)
The three time champion has been in the top two in overall points every season for the past half decade- but has now come up short in the playoffs two of the past three years. The bar is set high for the Uprising; Expectations are a championship or bust. The League's only dynasty will look to make it three straight years as points leader in 2015, and hope that is enough to secure a fourth Larkspur Bowl trophy and a fifth League Championship in nine years.

Final Record:
Nine Wins, Four Losses (2,555.86 points; 196.6 avg - 2nd)

Playoffs:
Secured a Bye through the Larkspur Bowl Quarterfinals
Lost to Pawnee Pride in Larkspur Bowl Semifinals 246.84 - 216.78
Defeated New York's Finest in 3rd Place Game 179.26 - 163.84

Synopsis:
For the sixth year in a row Phoenix was in the top two in overall points, and the top three in the standings. But to their own standards it was as bad a year as they have had in that stretch finishing second in points and third in the standings. They've now only won half of the Larkspur Bowls in that time, and been denied the silver chalice two years in a row. ALAS! The Uprising did a ton of wheeling and dealing this year, making eleven swaps- a single season record that pushes their franchise total to forty-two in the past seven years. Not all of those moves proved wholly beneficial, but the team rarely suffered with five All-Larkspur Team members plying their trade in the Orange and Gold. Four were drafted (Watt in round one, Gronk in round two, Jones in round seven, and Smith in round 20) while the fifth, Devonta Freeman, was pulled off the waiver wire after week two and immediately blossomed into the year's best pickup- a lucky mishap for the Carousel. Their best trade ended up pairing him with Lamar Miller, creating a sort of anti-carousel. Ultimately, the team's failings came down to the WR position, where Keenan Allen's midseason injury and Dez Bryant's diminished form kept the team from achieving its goals. 

Draft Analysis:
VALUABLE ; TRADED ; DROPPEDRECYCLEDINJURED


At the backend of the draft, taking advantage of positional inefficiencies can mask a dearth of top end point getters- Gronk was 30th in overall points, while Watt was 64th, but each was tops at their position. Lots of trades color the team from start to finish- not all of them worked out fortuitously, but none hurt the team either. Reshad Jones and Telvin Smith were two great IDP picks that also lent positional dominance. Charles Johnson, Bishop Sankey, and Tevin Coleman were all misses, while Alfred Blue and Denagelo Williams went on to value elsewhere, but riding the carousel was as productive as ever for Phoenix who ended up with two top six RBs in Dev Freeman and Lamar Miller.






Projected Points by Position versus League Average Projections (POST DRAFT)
PHX: A GRADE
Strength: TE & Defense
Weakness: RB

The Uprising drafted the two biggest positional advantages in Watt and the Gronk. Without any elite RBs, they'll be riding their patented Carousel of Doom early in 2015.


Trade Review: (Listing each player's point total following the trade)

  • SEP 1 traded RB DeAngelo Williams (247.2) to PAW for WR Mohamed Sanu (82.55)
This funny little trade did nothing for Phoenix who dumped Sanu before the season started. He was a depth option for a team that had no bench options to start the year. Williams had a huge season, albeit in two parts- he was a quality part of Pawnee's offense for a few weeks before being demoted- when injury called his number again, he returned with a vengeance... but for Deputy. Funny Game, Football.
  • SEP 15 traded RB Frank Gore (205.1), WR Michael Crabtree (198.3), LB Jamie Collins (153.75), and CB Casey Hayward (83.) to NYF for WR Jordan Matthews (194.7), RB Darren McFadden (220.28), and CB Aaron Colvin (112.5)
This blockbuster did not hurt Phoenix greatly, but it did not help them a ton either; They failed to make the most of McFadden's breakout (never even getting him in the lineup) and Matthews had far too many drops to elevate himself to WR1 status. Flipside, Crabtree was better than Matthews in a complimentary role and Frank Gore was more immediately helpful than McFadden. Jamie Collins had nine difference making games in eleven efforts, but missed a month in the middle of the season with a murky illness diagnosis. Cornerbacks! Pfeh!
  • OCT 1 traded WR Donte Moncrief (106.1) and RB David Johnson (200.9) to LHT for RB Lamar Miller (214.1) and WR Victor Cruz (0.)
Phoenix can hang it's hat on this deal, selling high on competent Moncrief while buying low on Lamar Miller- who would finish the year as the number six RB in the league after a slow start. The team took on Victor Cruz and his constant setbacks, but was able to flip him less than a week later. David Johnson's numbers make this trade look far less impressive- but Johnson was mostly a series of lightning strikes until late in the season, when he finally became a primary weapon in the final month of the season for Toronto.
  • OCT 7 traded WR Vincent Jackson (43.7), WR Victor Cruz (0.), and LB Derrick Johnson (145.15) to SAV for WR Dez Bryant (76.1) and RB Isaiah Crowell (119.5
This move had the potential to really set up Phoenix down the stretch: Dez Bryant being a bonafide elite WR with playmaking skills and the volume and game plan to get him the damn ball; It did not really work out that way though. Dez alternated between bad and good games for the eight he played at the back half of the year, but was never fully healthy, nor in the high octane situation he had previously known. The trade still played out better for Phoenix than Savannah: Vincent Jackson couldn't stay healthy and Victor Cruz was never healthy. Derrick Johnson came on strong, especially late in the year to help the Petes win a few games, (and gain a measure of respectability) but he was not a huge loss for the Opportunistic Uprising. Crowell had a good game as a bye week plugin before being shipped out of town.
  • OCT 15 traded RB Isaiah Crowell (101.3) to PAW for TE Jordan Cameron (54.5)
Isaiah Crowell had a really solid season but rarely was able to crack the starting lineup of the many teams he played for; Phoenix utilized him to great effect in week five, when he scored his second best game of the year. They spun him off for the disappointing Jordan Cameron, who ostensibly lent depth to the position. He had an okay first game with Phoenix, but it turned out to be the high point of his season; he played two more forgettable games with the team, barely resembling the breakout star he was in 2013 with the Uprising. 
  • OCT 16 traded WR Michael Floyd (154.) and LB Thomas Davis (117.63) to HCM for RB Jonathan Stewart (155.1)
Stewart took awhile to get going, but once he joined Phoenix he was a reliable workhorse; But as the team already had Devonta Freeman and Lamar Miller, the depth probably hurt their upside a bit: Floyd recovered from a terrible start to be a weapon they would be looking for down the road. Thomas Davis wasn't missed much by a team that took advantage of the linebacker position, though he was a boost to HCM. It would have been a stronger trade for Phoenix if they could have moved Stewart for a WR upgrade later in the year.
  • OCT 28 traded WR Brandon LaFell (80.2), WR Kamar Aiken (130.7), and RB Darren McFadden (154.3) to DVH for WR Jeremy Maclin (134.5)
This was a regrettable move for Phoenix. Maclin pulled himself out of a midseason slump to produce solid numbers, but the team would have been just as well off holding on to throw-in player Kamar Aiken, who was tacked onto the end of the deal and would inherit primary target responsibilities shortly thereafter. Darren McFadden was not trusted (moved four times in 2015) but should have been, as he was a high quality RB2 that could have netted the team a WR after a few weeks more weeks marinating in the role. Brandon LaFell was just okay: the Uprising moved him at the right time, it was the other two players they (unknowingly) sold low on.
  • NOV 3 traded LB Paul Worrilow (66.05) to NYF for WR Stevie Johnson (41.5)
With number one wide receiver Keenan Allen placed on IR, Phoenix was able to acquire real life replacement Stevie Johnson for an able bodied linebacker in Worrilow. It was a good plan with a short shelf life: Johnson followed Allen to the infirmary in less than a month. Worrilow wasn't missed, as the team did a good job turning over linebackers all season. taking advantage of the market inefficiency.
  • NOV 9 traded RB Jonathan Stewart (89.7) and WR Cecil Shorts (47.39) to LHT for RB Eddie Lacy (92.3)
The Uprising had three quality running backs headed into the trade deadline which left them with one more than they could use. Stewart took bronze behind Freeman and Miller and so he was the move: when the team failed to find a partner that would give them an upgrade at WR, they bundled him with waiver claim Cecil Shorts for busted first round pick Eddie Lacy instead. Fat Eddie had some huge weeks with Pheonix... and also saw himself benched in big spots. It was a gamble that was more risk than reward, and ultimately, Phoenix would have been better served finding a WR2 for Stewart.
  • NOV 12 traded LB Danny Trevathan (76.95) to MMC for CB Patrick Peterson (30.47)
A need for need trade that ended up yielding (and costing) very little for Phoenix. The Uprising had a revolving door at cornerback all year, looking for big plays and getting very few of them: just two picks by CBs all season. Peterson did little in his only game with Phoenix, as most of his prowess is showcased off the stat sheet. Trevathan was an excess part steered away from playoff competitors, a meta conspiracy on deadline day.
  • NOV 12 traded RB Jeremy Langford (106.3) and LB Kevin Minter (48.5) to SPC for LB Bobby Wagner (86.6)
A trade deadline trade if there ever was one, Phoenix spun off a promising young RB that was buried on their depth chart for a linebacker upgrade. Both Langford and Uprising addition Wagner were immediate Players of the Week. Langford was highly productive in South Park's playoff push, while Wagner was a difference maker three times and dependable four times in the team's final seven games- far better than replacement player Minter. Phoenix gambled that Langford would see his opportunities limited in the playoffs, and he was right- still, this was a deal that would not have been made earlier in the year: it became a win-win on deadline day, when need exceeds value.

Player of the Week Awards:
  • WK01 DPotW: DE JJ Watt (28.00)
  • WK03 PUotW: RB Devonta Freeman (42.80)
  • WK04 OPotW: RB Devonta Freeman (37.60)
  • WK05 OPotW: RB Devonta Freeman (35.00)
  • WK07 OPotW: RB Lamar Miller (46.30)
  • WK07 DPotW: LB Telvin Smith (36.80)
  • WK10 DPotW: SS Reshad Jones (21.85)
  • WK10 DPotW: LB Bobby Wagner (21.60)
  • WK16 OPotW: WR Jordan Matthews (23.60)
  • WK16 DPotW: FS Harrison Smith (22.25)
All Larkspur Bowl Players:
  • Runningback Devonta Freeman (325.60)
  • Defensive End JJ Watt (210.00)
  • Tight End Rob Gronkowski (251.33)
  • Linebacker Telvin Smith (192.30)
  • Safety Reshad Jones (230.73)
Depth Chart:
  • QB: Eli Manning
  • RB: Devonta Freeman, Lamar Miller, Eddie Lacy, Denard Robinson
  • WR: Keenan Allen, Dez Bryant, Jeremy Maclin, Jordan Matthews, Stevie Johnson
  • TE: Rob Gronkowski, Eric Ebron, Jordan Cameron
  • K: Justin Tucker
  • DL: JJ Watt
  • LB: Telvin Smith, Vontaze Burfict, Bobby Wagner, Brian Cushing, Christian Jones
  • CB: Patrick Peterson, Vontae Davis, Jason McCourty, Damarious Randall, Ricardo Allen
  • S: Reshad Jones, Harrison Smith, Eric Berry

Thursday, February 11, 2016

#4 New York Year-In-Review


Preview: (Posted before the 2015 Draft)
In 2009 New York lost the inaugural Larkspur Bowl to the Horde, and then spent the next half decade trying to get back. After scoring the top pick by way of the 2013 Consolation Bowl, The Finest finally brought home the trophy in 2014; They have never been a power house unit, but they have proven their meddle with clutch performances when they count. The savvy veteran looks to defend the title in 2015.

Final Record:
Twelve Wins, One Loss (2,584.92 points; 198.84 avg - 1st)

Playoffs:
Secured Bye through Larkspur Bowl quarterfinals
Lost to South Park Cows in Larkspur Bowl semifinals 216.61 - 214.11
Lost to Phoenix Uprising in 3rd Place Game 179.26 - 163.84

Synopsis:
2014's Larkspur Bowl Champions came into 2015 with a chip on their shoulder- despite winning it all, they were looking for validation: Before the season I said they had never been a power house unit. That changed. 2015 the Finest were the finest, leading the league in points and nearly running the table in the regular season. The only blemish on their record came in the form of a five point loss to Saskatoon in week ten, long after they had secured a first round bye; it was the only matchup they had with a single digit margin. 12-1 is the best record in Larkspur Bowl history (no other team had ever surpassed 10 victories in a single season) and set the record for most points in a season: a coronation for the defending Champions; Anyone can get hot in the playoffs, but it takes a masterstroke to dominate the regular season. They did it with a strong, deep arsenal of weapons boasting both floor and ceiling, a suffocating defense, and a well founded belief in their players. The season proved that their championship was no fluke, which makes their playoff result seem sort of flukey: After they built an early and seemingly insurmountable semifinal lead, team of destiny South Park was able to come back and stun the champs by a 2.5 margin. The year's best team doesn't always hoist the trophy, as the saying goes: Any team can win on any given Sunday. Lacking motivation after the let down, the Finest dropped the third place game and will draft 12th next year. They have proven they can win the championship, and they have proven they can be the best team in the league- in 2016 they'll aim to do both at the same time.

Draft Analysis:
VALUABLE ; TRADED ; DROPPEDRECYCLEDINJURED

The Finest put together an incredibly productive WR group on the cheap, and had one of the most consistent RB and LB platoons in the game, thus their 12-1 record. Actually, the only player on this list that could truly be considered a disappointment at their draft slot was Reggie Bush. Or maybe Aaron Rodgers? As the ninth most productive QB this year (behind luminary free agent Kirk Cousins!) he did not have the season anticipated from a first round selection. But that's mostly nitpicking.








Projected Points by Position versus League Average Projections (POST DRAFT)
NYF: B GRADE
Strength: QB
Weakness: Offensive Weapons

The defending champions have the most reliably awesome quarterback in the game, but the rest of the offense is decidedly mediocre. CJ Mosley should lead a sharp defense.


Trade Review: (Listing each player's point total following the trade)

  • SEP 10 traded TE Kyle Rudolph (115.5) to SAV for TE Julius Thomas (107.0)
With Julius injured to start the season, New York saw the opportunity to upgrade their depth, moving the undrafted Rudolph for long term gains. When Thomas returned later in the season he outscored Rudolph per game, and provided a reasonable flex option, and when Tyler Eifert missed time late in the season with injury, he was there to be a viable alternative.
  • SEP 15 traded WR Jordan Matthews (194.7), RB Darren McFadden (220.28), and CB Aaron Colvin (112.5) to PHX for WR Michael Crabtree (198.3), RB Frank Gore (205.1), LB Jamie Collins (153.75), and CB Casey Hayward (83.)
At the time, the "and a carton of ice cream" trade looked like a depth move for the NYF, with Jordan Matthews on the rise. As the numbers bear out, Crabtree was actually a bit better. McFadden was the superior back over the course of the season, but he'd be traded twice more before peaking; Gore's numbers were more immediately relevant. Jamie Collins missed a good portion of the season with an illness, but when he played he was an elite linebacker. Both cornerbacks were ultimately impertinent.
  • OCT 16 OCT 16 traded LB Daryl Smith (84.95) and WR Jermaine Kearse (89.7) to NYF for LB Luke Kuechly (177.4) and WR Stevie Johnson (50.)  
Once Luke Kuechly joined the FInest, he was the best linebacker in the league, bar none. It was the sort of trade that defined both team's season: For Savannah, it left them a broken husk, struggling to compete. For undefeated New York, it launched their upside into the stratosphere. Jermaine Kearse ended up playing four games for Savannah as they waited for their season from hell to end, and Johnson was subsequently spun off from the bottom of the New York depth chart.
  • NOV 3 traded WR Stevie Johnson (41.5) to PHX for LB Paul Worrilow (66.05)
The Finest needed a linebacker for a week and got a solid ten point effort from Worrilow, before their superior depth rendered him expendable and he returned to Toronto via free agency. Stevie Johnson briefly came into serious volume, but after three good to great games, broke. More of a minor deal, that might have paid off more for the Uprising if not for injury.

Player of the Week Awards:
  • WK07 PUotW: QB Ryan Tannehill 28.38 points
  • WK08 DPotW: LB Luke Kuechly 28.95 points
  • WK12 DPotW: LB Luke Kuechly 31.95 points
All Larkspur Bowl Players:
  • Linebacker Luke Kuechly 188.9 points
Depth Chart:
  • QB: Aaron Rodgers
  • RB: Matt Forte, Todd Gurley, Frank Gore, Rashad Jennings
  • WR: Eric Decker, Michael Crabtree, Martavis Bryant, Steve Smith, Davante Adams, Doug Baldwin, Percy Harvin
  • TE: Tyler Eifert, Julius Thomas
  • K: Nick Novak
  • DL: Jason Pierre-Paul, Demarucs Ware, Cameron Jordan
  • LB: CJ Mosley, Luke Kuechly, Jamie Collins, Manti Te'o, Ryan Kerrigan
  • CB: Charles Tillman, Byron Jones, Greg Toler, Casey Hayward
  • S: HaHa Clinton-Dix, Chris Conte, Kenny Vaccaro

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

#5 Toronto Year-In-Review


Preview: (Posted before the 2015 Draft)
After a middling rookie season in 2012, 'Les Tres Petites' have produced back to back playoff seasons, ranking third overall in points both years. Stu Ferguson didn't miss a beat when "Co-Manager Mike" left him to take the reins in Toronto: a steady hand and a resistance to impulse moves kept them at the head of the pack in 2014. That hardened Canadian resolve should prove enduring in 2015.

Final Record:
Seven Wins, Six Losses (2,248.00 points; 172.92 avg - 9th)

Playoffs:
Lost to Pawnee Pride in Larkspur Bowl Quarterfinals 206.21 - 123.32
Defeated  Revis Islanders in 5th Place Game 253.18 - 217.64

Synopsis:
Les Tres Petites are who we thought they were: drafting solid value, sticking with the horses that brought them, good enough to compete in every game and make the playoffs, but a bit underpowered when it comes to making postseason noise. The team made the second fewest moves in the league this year- only last place Oakwood made less, and in two fewer weeks. Their insistence on riding on the fringe in terms of depth options has often turned out fortuitous: Danny Woodhead was thrust into a starting role and excelled; and the way the dominoes fell, Toronto ended up with David Johnson right when he was about to blossom into the unstoppable juggernaut he was born to be.  After beating most of the teams they should (five of their six losses came to teams with winning records) the teams' failings came to a head at the end of the year, as they backed into the playoffs and then exited quickly, those two weeks their lowest scoring of the season. Megatron and the rest of the WRs suddenly could not produce, and their secondary fell into disrepair. However, as if to answer doubters, in the fifth place game Toronto exploded for 253.18 points- the highest weekly score in 2015, and a mere .06 off of Phoenix's all time record of 253.24; Toronto is an enigma year to year... but a highly competent one.

Draft Analysis:
VALUABLE ; TRADED ; DROPPEDRECYCLEDINJURED

LTP had three absolute steals in this draft- Capitalizing on Tom Brady's uncertain status in the seventh round (and then moving Brees) Tyrann Mathieu in the twelfth (one of two elite safeties in 2015) and Danny Woodhead in the 19th. The Woodhead pick might have been the reason this team was a playoff team at all. Randle flamed out quickly and Forsett went down with an injury. Two years in a row Toronto has gone against the grain and eschewed the urge to amass RB depth, instead using his bench to work an optimal lineup week to week. Wallace is technically listed as 'valuable' but was barely flex worthy most of the season.







Projected Points by Position versus League Average Projections (POST DRAFT)
LTP: A GRADE
Strength: Offense
Weakness: Secondary

Toronto comes in with a great draft, and their offense projects above average at every spot. Their defensive backs came down with 16 picks last year- will variance lead to regression?


Trade Review: (Listing each player's point total following the trade)

  • OCT 11 Traded QB Drew Brees (257.84) to PAW for WR James Jones (114.1) and QB Matthew Stafford (227.3)
Toronto made one trade this year, and it ended up working out pretty nicely. The Quarterback market is notoriously finicky, as value waxes and wanes. With Brady a fixture under center, they took advantage of Pawnee's uncertainty in Stafford to hedge the bet, acquiring another QB of starting caliber as well as taking a chance on James Jones, who had solid early returns in the first month. Jones showcased his ability as a quality secondary WR, chipping in catches and TDs in abundance, and giving the team a deep stable to draw from. The move would have graded better if LTP had been able to spin Stafford off for another piece (he was eventually dropped for nothing) or moved a spare WR for something else (DeSean Jackson and Mike Wallace were both connected with trade rumors, but nothing was ever finalized.) In the end, the trade was still a moderate win.

Player of the Week Awards:
  • WK02 PUotW: WR Travis Benjamin (42.45 points)
  • WK03 DPotW: FS Tyrann Mathieu (35.00 points
  • WK11 PUotW: LB Paul Worrilow (17.55 points)
  • WK15: OPotW: RB David Johnson (51.70 points)
All Larkspur Bowl Players:
  • Safety Tyrann Mathieu (209.60 points)
  • Quarterback Tom Brady (338.60 points)
  • Cornerback Trumaine Johnson (176.80 points)
Depth Chart:
  • QB: Tom Brady
  • RB: Danny Woodhead, Justin Forsett, David Johnson, Joseph Randle, Chris Thompson
  • WR: Calvin Johnson, Travis Benjamin, James Jones, DeSean Jackson, Mike Wallace
  • TE: Zach Ertz, Jacob Tamme
  • K: Steven Hauschka
  • DL: Cliff Avril, Cameron Heyward, Justin Tuck
  • LB: Lawrence Timmons, Vincent Rey, Paul Worrilow, Keenan Robinson, Koa Misi, Hauoli Kikaha
  • CB: Trumaine Johnson, Jerraud Powers, Aaron Colvin, Alterraun Verner, Marcus Williams
  • S: Tyrann Mathieu, David Bruton, Tashaun Gipson

Tuesday, February 9, 2016

#6 Islanders Year-In-Review


Preview: (Posted before the 2015 Draft)
No team has come into the league quite like the Islanders, who won the Larkspur Bowl in their first year, the 2012 champions and the overall points leader to boot. Since then, it's been a couple of lackluster showings- a one and done playoff run in 2013, and a late season fade in 2014. California has shown they can get it done: Now they have to do it again in 2015.

Final Record:
Eight Wins, Five Losses (2,385.57 points; 183.51 avg - 5th)


Playoffs:
Lost to South Park Cows in Larkspur Bowl Quarterfinal 183.20 - 160.51
Lost to Toronto LTP in 5th Place Game 253.18 - 217.64

Synopsis:
The Islanders eight wins came from four two game win streaks spread through the season, and they earned every one of them- in seven of their eight wins they scored at least 186 points- in only one of their losses did they do better than 166 points. The team suffered at QB, where they had five different starters: Big Ben, Derek Carr, Jay Cutler, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Matt Stafford. Roethlisberger was the play when he was healthy enough to go, but numerous ailments limited him. By the second half of the season Stafford had been chosen to ride shotgun, a necessary allotment of a roster spot. They were able to cycle there because of uncanny stability at WR: the team's top three guys (Cobb, Cooper, and Tate) were able to play every game, while Garcon was active in fourteen- only three other WRs saw the field. The team also did a good job at RB, where the trifecta bruisers Chris Ivory, Marshawn Lynch, and LaGarrette Blount took the bulk of the carries, with Ryan Mathews a reliable emergency option. Defensively the team was patient, and solid all the way through. All-Larkspur Team member Paul Posluszny was fourth in points despite missing two games- which qualifies as a pretty healthy year, since he hadn't played a full slate since 2012. The team went down in the first round of the playoffs to eventual champion South Park as erstwhile contributors Amari Cooper, Karlos Dansby, and Sebastian Janikowski failed to make tangible impacts. In the fifth place game they rebounded to play well, but went against a Toronto team that came within fractions of scoring the all time best week in Larkspur Bowl History.

Draft Analysis:
VALUABLE ; TRADED ; DROPPEDRECYCLEDINJURED

The Islanders were the only team to keep double digit players- twelve of them, including Marshawn Lynch. Every one of those players approached or exceeded expectations, and the back end of this draft had several picks that contributed later in the year; "Can't keep everybody." If the team could have kept Michael Floyd and Jordan Reed, they'd have been better off, and while Mario Williams ended up a huge bust for being the third DL off the board, but that was one of 2015's surprises. The team could have benefited from trading their excess depth to address needs. Sometimes you move a player for only a marginal upgrade, rather than losing them for nothing.







Projected Points by Position versus League Average Projections (POST DRAFT)

ISL: B GRADE
Strength: RB
Weakness: TE

The Islanders have three battering rams at RB in Beast Mode, Ivory, and Blount. At TE Coby Fleener is inconsistent, and Jordan Reed is injury prone.



Trade Review: (Listing each player's point total following the trade)
  • OCT 22 traded RB Dion Lewis (31.4) to HVM for RB Ahmad Bradshaw (41.5) and SS TJ Ward (42)
The Islanders complete only one trade in 2015, the sixth in their franchise's history. Their impulse to sell Dion Lewis was good- his injury limited his sell high opportunity, and waiting a week might have seen a better return, but he was only a few games away from his expiration date. What they got in return amounted to null, but you can sorta see what they were thinking. Ahmad Bradshaw, fully healthy and off suspension was being eased into the game plan, and if he could recapture his 2014 swiss army form he could be a quality source of TDs. The Islanders were ultimately unable to capitalize on Bradshaw's limited shelf life, but there was a 'sell high, buy low' aspect here. The Ward acquisition is more confusing, because the team had no obvious place for him. He slotted in behind incumbents Charles Woodson and Donte Whitner (both healthy at the time) and never made it to game action with the team. No harm, no foul- you just wonder if the team could have netted a more useful return for Lewis, who had started the year off with four straight big games before the injuries started to pile up; In his five complete games, he had five upper echelon performances.

Player of the Week Awards:
  • WK05 DPotW: CB Chris Harris - 26.2pts
  • WK06 DPotW: LB Karlos Dansby - 33.05pts
  • WK08 PUotW: WR Marques Colston - 25.9pts
  • WK15 DPotW: LB Paul Posluszny - 23.65pts
All Larkspur Bowl Players:
  • Linebacker Paul Posluszny - 189.75pts
Depth Chart:
  • QB: Ben Roethlisberger, Matt Stafford
  • RB: Chris Ivory, Lagarrette Blount, Marshawn Lynch, Ryan Mathews
  • WR: Randall Cobb, Golden Tate, Amari Cooper, Pierre Garcon, DaVante Parker
  • TE: Ben Watson
  • K: Sebastian Janikowski
  • DL: Mo Wilkerson, Mario Williams
  • LB: Karlos Dansby, Paul Posluszny, Stephen Tulloch, Donte Hightower, Melvin Ingram
  • CB: Chris Harris, Malcolm Butler, Buster Skrine, Davon House, Sam Shields
  • S: Charles Woodson, Donte Whitner, Kurt Coleman